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De whisky a perchas: las importaciones, en la mira para ahorrar US$ 3.000 millones
Habrá más artículos que podrán entrar al país sólo bajo licencias no automáticas. Y en el área económica funcionará un sistema de monitoreo de pagos al exterior.
El Gobierno puso la mira en un abanico de importaciones que va desde whiskies a perchas. Todos esas categorías serán alcanzadas en las próximas horas por controles de los que hasta ahora estaban exentas. También se esperan restricciones para la compra de servicios extranjeros (como software, consultoría y seguros, entre otros). El objetivo, en todos los casos, es frenar el drenaje de dólares y el deterioro de la balanza comercial.
Las operaciones bajo observación representan un total de unos US$ 3.000 millones en lo que resta del año según estimaciones del Ministerio de Economía. Es poco más de lo que importa el Estado en energía en un mes. Como el Ejecutivo no puede apretar ese grifo, ahora apuntó a los bienes de consumo que no se fabrican en el país y servicios. Ese ahorro le permitiría aflojar la presión sobre las reservas y destinar dólares a sectores «prioritarios».
Para ello, la secretaría de Comercio, encabezada por Matías Tombolini, pasará 34 posiciones arancelarias desde las licencias automáticas a las no automáticas. Esto significa que los importadores tendrán una demora de hasta 60 días si obtienen la aprobación, en lugar de un plazo de hasta 72 horas, y habrá cupos, que en general son otorgados en forma arbitraria. Con estos cambios, estiman que podrían evitar la salida de US$ 800 millones en lo que resta del año.
El Ministerio de Economía está preocupado por el impacto de la brecha cambiaria. Con un dólar paralelo cercano a $ 300, los importadores adelantan operaciones y solicitan dólares al valor oficial por un monto mayor al necesario. En vista de esa situación, buscan también limitar el aumento «exponencial» de las compras de servicios. «De acá para adelante, hay US$ 3.000 millones que vamos a observar», dijo un funcionario.
Si bien los fletes y el turismo engrosan el déficit comercial, la lupa está puesta en el desarrollo de software, seguros y consultoría, rubros que en siete meses insumieron US$ 1.000 millones. La idea es que haya un nuevo esquema de declaración anticipada a través del Sistema Integral de Monitoreo de Pagos al Exterior de Servicios (SIMPES), que permite analizar el cumplimiento fiscal y la capacidad económica financiera (CEF) de las empresas.
Hoy existen tres filtros para importar. El primero es el CEF, un grupo de indicadores cuya fórmula es definida por la AFIP. Por otra parte, están las licencias que aprueba la Secretaría de Comercio y, por último, la autorización del Banco Central para acceder a dólares al valor oficial, un trámite que puede estar sujeto a un plazo mínimo de 90 a 180 días (según el tipo de permiso, producto y si hay financiación) y a cupos para pagos anticipados y a la vista.
Pese al incremento de las restricciones en junio pasado antes de la renuncia de Martín Guzmán, el Central sigue con dificultades para acumular divisas. Según cálculos privados, las reservas netas no superarían los US$ 1.000 millones. Por otra parte, el saldo del comercio exterior en julio fue negativo en US$ 437 millones. Ese mes las importaciones no energéticas rozaron los US$ 6.000 millones, según Ecolatina. Las nuevas trabas buscarían bajar ese techo.
En el sector privado, creen que las restricciones a los bienes de consumo en realidad tienen un impacto marginal. «Imaginate qué locos están si piensan que van a cubrir el déficit de energía de US$ 2.500 millones de los últimos cuatro meses, poniendo bajo control de licencias no automáticas al whisky, aviones privados y yates, eso es para la tribuna, la fuga gruesa la tenés en servicios, no en productos», dijo una fuente de una consultora en comercio exterior.
La lista de bienes, con nuevos controles:
- Rotuladores y marcadores con punta de fieltro
- Whisky en envases de hasta 2 litros
- Bisagras
- Bijouteria de metal común
- Guarniciones y herrajes
- Colgadores y perchas
- Máquinas de cortar el pelo o esquilar
- Yates
- Aviones de lujo
- Helicópteros
- Motos de agua
- Martillos eléctricos
- Artículos de panadería
- Mouse
- Indicadores o apuntadores para PC
- Cajas registradoras electrónicas
- Consolas de videojuegos
- Teclados
- Parlantes
- Placas de memoria para PC
- Máquinas para minar criptomonedas
- Máquinas tragamonedas
- Semen bovino
Exportadores, en alerta
Sin éxito por ahora en la negociación de incentivos para que el campo liquide divisas, el Gobierno buscará también apurar las exportaciones del complejo aceitero. Será mediante una reducción del plazo para exportar cuando utilizan bienes importados dentro del régimen de admisión temporal, por el que acceden al dólar oficial. La idea es que exporten en un plazo de hasta 8 meses, en lugar del plazo máximo vigente de hasta 2 años.
Los productos que gozan del beneficio son vehículos, porotos de soja, hierro, químicos, textiles y cuero, entre otros. Pero de un total de US$ 3.786 millones importados bajo ese esquema en los últimos siete meses, casi la mitad corresponde a porotos de soja, según las autoridades. Las cerealeras aseguran que pueden adaptarse a un menor plazo de exportación, pero advierten que no podrán seguir exportando si les fijan licencias no automáticas.
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Bitcoin uses proof-of-work to validate transactions. In a nutshell, Bitcoin miners must invest computational power (electricity, hardware, and maintenance) to verify a block hash with specific requirements before transactions can be added to the blockchain. As the hash rate increases on the network, mining difficulty increases (and vice versa) to keep the average block time at about 10 minutes. The bottom line is that crypto, including bitcoin, is experiencing a correction after a strong rally. It found support from the Fed’s downshift in hiking and the broader bullish sentiment towards risk assets as the US banking crisis receded. This benign macro backdrop is starting to deteriorate, and we would caution against expecting another short-term rise in prices. For long-term investors, we think some allocation to crypto makes sense – just like an allocation to equities also makes sense.
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Get the daily newsletter that helps thousands of investors understand the markets. Furthermore, the crypto market is still dictated by leading assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the two large cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Notably, by press time, Bitcoin accounted for a market share of 39.9%, while Ethereum stood at 18.5%. 2023-07-18T07:58:05.0526495Z View the latest cryptocurrency prices for the hundreds of digital assets listed on OKX, alongside their daily price change and market cap statistics. You can also select «Trade» for any cryptocurrency in the list to visit the relevant OKX market for buying and selling each asset. Unique cryptocurrency wallets created on Blockchain as of November 17, 2022 The Bitcoin network (with an upper-case “B”) was launched in January 2009 by an anonymous computer programmer or group of programmers under the pseudonym “Satoshi Nakamoto.” The network is a peer-to-peer electronic payment system that uses a cryptocurrency called bitcoin (lower case “b”) to transfer value over the internet or act as a store of value like gold and silver.