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En Juntos por el Cambio me cuesta ver que los perdedores acompañen a los ganadores

11 septiembre, 2021
1.281 2 minuto para leer

El reconocido periodista y columnista del diario tucumano La Gaceta, Marcelo Aguaysol, se comunicó vía telefónica con Café Prensa, transmitido por Mi Radio 92.7mhz en simultaneo con RT 88.1 mhz, LV7 Tucumán, La Tempranera(Monteros) y Concierto (Concepción).  Realizo un análisis sobre el panorama electoral respecto de las PASO 2021

Según tu análisis ¿Qué está en juego en la jornada de mañana para la provincia? «Mañana se juegan muchas cosas a partir de intereses diferenciados. Por el lado del oficialismo hay una pelea titánica entre dos personas que prometieron gobernar hasta 2023 y en circunstancias electorales, están por caminos separados. Caminos que Pueden tener efectos, pensando en el cierre de este mandato Manzur-Jaldo enfrentados en las urnas, lo político y, Dios no quiera, en lo institucional.

Ha sido una campaña, yo no recuerdo, con un nivel de violencia verbal durante estos seis meses entre el conductor de la provincia y su compañero de fórmula.

En Juntos por el Cambio hay un intendente muy confiado en obtener el triunfo y dos listas radicales que van por separado. Y Se juegan su futuro, porque todos absolutamente todos, están pensando en 2023. » dijo

» Hay cierta mezquindad por parte de la dirigencia política al colocarse en las listas y no confiar en gente que viene haciendo militancia, independientemente en la cercanía o no, al líder político. Eso es lo que está fallando en todos los partidos políticos el hecho que no hay una renovación, ni una oportunidad similar, ni ideas sobre ser buenos parlamentarios. Hay gente que tiene experiencia en el parlamento, pero hay que ver que ideas hay hacia el futuro. De esto adoleció esta campaña. No hay un candidato que haya hecho un decálogo sobre lo que quiere hacer al llegar al congreso de la nación» agregó

¿Los lideres tuvieron que ponerle el cuerpo para apuntalar a sus candidatos? «Precisamente porque detrás de ese acompañamiento hay una intención que es la continuidad. No basto que alguien dijera un numero como 2023, para que esta efervescencia política se diera. No es una elección más, por las situaciones en la que estamos, porque no sólo está en juego la intencionalidad política, sino también la económica e institucional. En épocas de crisis, cuando un cierto mal humor social y este preanuncio de votos en blanco, las distintas emocionalidades entran en juego en la cabeza del votante.

La interna de los partidos es muy atípica, porque las candidaturas son casi concretas tiempo antes de las elecciones. A estas PASO le pusieron condimento. Dios quiera que mañana salgan bien y que el lunes podamos ver los resultados y saber cuánto de plebiscito hay en la gestión, cuanto de voto bronca hay y cuanto de acompañamiento también”

¿Cómo sigue la historia, sobre todo dentro de la interna oficialista? “Hoy es muy poco probable que Manzur y Jaldo se sienten en una misma mesa a decidir que va a pasar, depende mucho de los resultados. Aquí la mayor responsabilidad la tiene el gobernador Manzur, por ser el conductor político de la provincia, por ser el Presidente del PJ Tucumán y por ser uno de los Vicepresidente del Consejo Nacional Justicialista. Se puso en juego su conducción, por eso se puso en el rol que esta. No veo unidad, necesariamente tendrá que haber una mano nacional»

Respecto a la interna de Juntos por el Cambio, manifestó» Aquí jugaron mucho los padrinos mágicos, la situación de Juntos por el Cambio es complicada. Veo una grieta posterior, me cuesta ver que los perdedores acompañen a los ganadores.»

Nuestro agradecimiento al colega del diario La Gaceta, el equipo de Café Prensa .-

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11 septiembre, 2021
1.281 2 minuto para leer
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    英超是相當重要的足球賽事，以競爭激烈和精彩程度聞名
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  542. Nhà cái Uy tín
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  554. オンラインカジノレビュー：選択の重要性
    オンラインカジノの世界への入門
    オンラインカジノは、インターネット上で提供される多様な賭博ゲームを通じて、世界中のプレイヤーに無限の娯楽を提供しています。これらのプラットフォームは、スロット、テーブルゲーム、ライブディーラーゲームなど、様々なゲームオプションを提供し、実際のカジノの経験を再現します。

    オンラインカジノレビューの重要性
    オンラインカジノを選択する際には、オンラインカジノレビューの役割が非常に重要です。レビューは、カジノの信頼性、ゲームの多様性、顧客サービスの質、ボーナスオファー、支払い方法、出金条件など、プレイヤーが知っておくべき重要な情報を提供します。良いレビューは、利用者の実際の体験に基づいており、新規プレイヤーがカジノを選択する際の重要なガイドとなります。

    レビューを読む際のポイント
    信頼性とライセンス：カジノが適切なライセンスを持ち、公平なゲームプレイを提供しているかどうか。
    ゲームの選択：多様なゲームオプションが提供されているかどうか。
    ボーナスとプロモーション：魅力的なウェルカムボーナス、リロードボーナス、VIPプログラムがあるかどうか。
    顧客サポート：サポートの応答性と有効性。
    出金オプション：出金の速度と方法。
    プレイヤーの体験
    良いオンラインカジノレビューは、実際のプレイヤーの体験に基づいています。これには、ゲームプレイの楽しさ、カスタマーサポートへの対応、そして出金プロセスの簡単さが含まれます。プレイヤーのフィードバックは、カジノの品質を判断するのに役立ちます。

    結論
    オンラインカジノを選択する際には、詳細なオンラインカジノレビューを参照することが重要です。これらのレビューは、安全で楽しいギャンブル体験を確実にするための信頼できる情報源となります。適切なカジノを選ぶことは、オンラインギャンブルでの成功への第一歩です。

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  556. オンラインカジノ
    オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの現代的展開
    オンラインカジノの世界は、技術の進歩と共に急速に進化しています。これらのプラットフォームは、従来の実際のカジノの体験をデジタル空間に移し、プレイヤーに新しい形式の娯楽を提供しています。オンラインカジノは、スロットマシン、ポーカー、ブラックジャック、ルーレットなど、さまざまなゲームを提供しており、実際のカジノの興奮を維持しながら、アクセスの容易さと利便性を提供します。

    一方で、オンラインギャンブルは、より広範な概念であり、スポーツベッティング、宝くじ、バーチャルスポーツ、そしてオンラインカジノゲームまでを含んでいます。インターネットとモバイルテクノロジーの普及により、オンラインギャンブルは世界中で大きな人気を博しています。オンラインプラットフォームは、伝統的な賭博施設に比べて、より多様なゲーム選択、便利なアクセス、そしてしばしば魅力的なボーナスやプロモーションを提供しています。

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    オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルは、今後も技術の進歩とともに進化し続けるでしょう。人工知能（AI）の更なる統合、モバイル技術の発展、さらには新しいゲームの創造により、この分野は引き続き成長し、世界中のプレイヤーに新しい娯楽の形を提供し続けることでしょう。

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  566. 民調
    最新的民調顯示，2024年台灣總統大選的競爭格局已逐漸明朗。根據不同來源的數據，目前民進黨的賴清德與民眾黨的柯文哲、國民黨的侯友宜正處於激烈的競爭中。

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  567. 民意調查是什麼？民調什麼意思？
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    以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性：

    抽樣：由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見，所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
    問卷設計：為了確保獲得可靠的結果，問卷必須經過精心設計，問題要清晰、不帶偏見，且易於理解。
    數據分析：收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等，以及更複雜的統計分析。
    多種用途：民意調查可以用於各種目的，包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
    限制：雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具，但它也有其限制。例如，樣本可能不完全代表目標人群，或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
    影響決策：民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
    透明度和誠實：為了維護調查的可信度，調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
    民調是怎麼調查的?
    民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求，以科學、系統與公正的資料，蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣)，設計問卷題目後，以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價，利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法，來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法，藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。

    以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟：

    定義目標和目的：首先，調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法？還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率？
    設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
    選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
    收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
    數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
    報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
    解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
    民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。

    為什麼要做民調？
    民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：

    政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
    選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
    市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
    社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
    公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
    提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
    預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
    教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。

    民調可信嗎？
    民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？

    在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。

    受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。

    從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是，大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度，並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。

  568. ban ca xeng
    Có đa dạng loại game bắn cá, mỗi thể loại mang theo những quy tắc và phong cách chơi độc đáo. Vì vậy, người mới tham gia nên dành thời gian để nắm vững luật lệ của từng loại mà họ quan tâm. Chẳng hạn, việc hiểu rõ các nguyên tắc cơ bản như săn cá, tính điểm, loại mồi, cách đặt cược, hay quá trình đổi xèng là quan trọng để có trải nghiệm chơi tốt nhất.

    Bên cạnh đó, khi tham gia vào trò chơi, cũng cần phải đảm bảo rằng bạn hiểu rõ các quy định cụ thể của từng cổng game để tránh những hiểu lầm không mong muốn.

    Nhiều cổng game bắn cá hiện nay cung cấp lựa chọn bàn chơi miễn phí, mở ra cơ hội cho người chơi mới thâm nhập thế giới này mà không cần phải đầu tư xèng. Bằng cách tham gia vào các ván chơi không mất chi phí, người chơi có thể học được quy tắc chơi, tiếp xúc với các chiến thuật, hiểu rõ sự biến động của trò chơi, và khám phá các nền tảng và phần mềm mà không phải lo lắng về áp lực tài chính.

    Quá trình trải nghiệm miễn phí sẽ giúp người chơi mới tích luỹ kinh nghiệm, xây dựng lòng tin vào bản thân, từ đó họ có thể chuyển đổi sang chơi với xèng mà không gặp phải nhiều khó khăn và ngần ngại.

    Hiểu rõ về ý nghĩa của vị trí trong bàn săn cá là vô cùng quan trọng. Ví dụ, người chơi đặt mình ở vị trí đầu bàn phải đối mặt với thách thức của việc đưa ra quyết định mà không biết được cách mà đối thủ phía sau sẽ hành động. Ngược lại, người chơi ở vị trí giữa có đôi chút lợi thế khi phải đối mặt với ít áp lực hơn, có thể quan sát cách chơi của một số đối thủ trước đó, nhưng vẫn phải đưa ra quyết định mà không biết trước hành động của một số đối thủ khác. Người chơi ở vị trí cuối được ưu thế vì họ có thể quan sát và phân tích hành động của đối thủ trước khi tới lượt họ đưa ra quyết định. Nguyên tắc chung là, vị trí càng cao, người chơi càng có lợi thế trong
    ban ca xeng.

  569. 民意調查
    民意調查是什麼？民調什麼意思？
    民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗，簡稱民調。一般而言，民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度，由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。

    目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介，對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣，利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀，且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
    以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性：

    抽樣：由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見，所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
    問卷設計：為了確保獲得可靠的結果，問卷必須經過精心設計，問題要清晰、不帶偏見，且易於理解。
    數據分析：收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等，以及更複雜的統計分析。
    多種用途：民意調查可以用於各種目的，包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
    限制：雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具，但它也有其限制。例如，樣本可能不完全代表目標人群，或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
    影響決策：民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
    透明度和誠實：為了維護調查的可信度，調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
    民調是怎麼調查的?
    民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求，以科學、系統與公正的資料，蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣)，設計問卷題目後，以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價，利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法，來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法，藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。

    以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟：

    定義目標和目的：首先，調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法？還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率？
    設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
    選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
    收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
    數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
    報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
    解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
    民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。

    為什麼要做民調？
    民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：

    政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
    選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
    市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
    社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
    公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
    提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
    預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
    教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。

    民調可信嗎？
    民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？

    在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。

    受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。

    從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是，大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度，並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。

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