Nacionales

El nuevo bono para apuntalar los ingresos y el consumo tendrá un costo de US$ 2.000 millones

Los analistas advierten que estas medidas podrían impactar sobre la inflación y complicar las metas con el FMI.  

La magnitud del costo del bono que el Gobierno volcará a la calle a partir de mayo sorprendió a los economistas. Los cálculos de los privados están a tono con los del Gobierno que estiman en $ 230.000 millones el monto del paquete de «refuerzo de ingresos» que llegará al menos a 13 millones de personas. Traducido al dólar mayorista, que hoy cotiza en $ 113, representa un monto de US$ 2.000 millones. 

El economista Fernando Marull, director de la consultora FMyA, calcula que si se confirma que las ayudas también van al universo de trabajadores informales (casi 8 millones de personales), «el costo total de anuncios son US$ 2.000 millones, un monto equivalente al 0.34% del producto bruto«.

Si bien el ministro Martín Guzmán planteó que para cubrir este gasto adicional se impulsará un impuesto a la «renta inesperada» que abarcará a las empresas con una ganancia superior a $ 1.000 millones, este tributo debe pasar por el Congreso, por lo que no está claro si se aprobará ni cuando ingresarán esos fondos en caso de que el oficialismo reúna los votos necesarios en ambas cámaras.

Por eso, Marull apuntó que «este bono se financia con inflación. El financiamiento de estos anuncios es lo que el gobierno recaudó de más porque tuvo una inflación más alta en el primer trimestre. Les entró más plata y ahora se la están gastando«.

En el primer trimestre la inflación fue del 16,1%. En el Presupuesto que preparó Guzmán para el 2022 y que fue rechazado por el Congreso el año pasado, se preveía una inflación del 33%. Y en el acuerdo con el FMI se establece un rango del 38 al 48%. Ya está claro que ese cálculo quedará chico, porque las consultoras ven un piso de inflación para este año del 60%. A mayor escalada de los precios, mayor recaudación para el fisco a través del impuesto inflacionario.​

Para Marull este aumento del gasto con el bono pone en riesgo las metas con el Fondo Monetario, pero destaca que perjudica poco de cara al segundo trimestre, porque en ese período los compromisos no son tan exigentes. «Las metas más difíciles son las del cuatro trimestre».

Guido Lorenzo, director de la consultora LCG, aporta que estos anuncios tendrán un impacto equivalente a 0,4% en el PBI, incluyendo también el reciente aumento del 50% en el monto de la Tarjeta Alimentar.

«Es un número importante para lo desafiante que ya estaba el sendero fiscal acordado con el Fondo. Habrá que ver cuáles son las repercusiones ahora en el viaje de Guzmán a Washington», señaló Lorenzo, en referencia a la participación del ministro en la asamblea de Primavera del FMI y el Banco Mundial.

«El 6,7% de inflación de marzo marcó la impotencia de un gobierno que ha fracasado en sus políticas. El salario real y las jubilaciones cayeron cerca de 30% en los últimos cuatros años. Y ahora propone ampliar las malas políticas con más impuestos y más planes«, dijo Agustín Etchebarne, director general de Libertad y Progreso.

«El resultado será malo, no hay reformas estructurales, y hay peleas internas que generan mayor inestabilidad política. El riesgo es que la inflación en algún momento se espiralice si los argentinos aceleran la huida del dinero«, indicó.

“No creo que el nuevo impuesto logre la aprobación del Congreso. Está claro que si se avanza con esto se agrava el problema de los empresas que ven cómo se va achicando la torta cada vez más”, sostuvo Etchebarne.

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    在電子遊戲的世界裡,不斷有新的作品出現,但要在眾多的遊戲中脫穎而出,成為玩家心中的佳作,需要的不僅是創意,還需要技術和努力。而當我們談到RSG雷神,就不得不提它如何將遊戲提升到了一個全新的層次。

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    這款遊戲的成功,並不只是因為它的外觀或音效,更重要的是它那精心設計的遊戲機制。玩家可以根據自己的策略選擇不同的下注方式,每一次旋轉,都有可能帶來意想不到的獎金。這種刺激和期待,使得玩家一次又一次地沉浸在遊戲中,享受著每一分每一秒。

    但RSG雷神並沒有因此而止步。它的研發團隊始終在尋找新的創意和技術,希望能夠為玩家帶來更多的驚喜。無論是遊戲的內容、機制還是畫面效果,RSG雷神都希望能夠做到最好,成為遊戲界的佼佼者。

    總的來說,RSG雷神不僅僅是一款遊戲,它是一種文化,一種追求。對於那些熱愛遊戲、追求刺激的玩家來說,它提供了一個完美的平台,讓玩家能夠體驗到真正的遊戲樂趣。

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    Concluzie
    Redactarea unei lucrari de licen?a poate fi o provocare, dar cu o planificare riguroasa ?i abordarea corecta, po?i ob?ine rezultate remarcabile. Asigura-te ca alegi o teza relevanta ?i interesanta, planifica-?i lucrarea ?i cerceteaza in profunzime, apoi scrie cu aten?ie ?i coeren?a. Nu uita sa revizuie?ti ?i sa corectezi lucrarea inainte de a o finaliza ?i, cel mai important, sa fii mandru de realizarea ta. Prin urmare, abordeaza redactarea lucrarii de licen?a cu incredere ?i determinare, ?i vei reu?i sa ob?ii rezultate de succes in studiile tale universitare.
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  115. 英超
    2023-24英超聯賽萬眾矚目,2023年8月12日開啟了第一場比賽,而接下來的賽事也正如火如荼地進行中。本文統整出英超賽程以及英超賽制等資訊,幫助你更加了解英超,同時也提供英超直播平台,讓你絕對不會錯過每一場精彩賽事。

    英超是什麼?
    英超是相當重要的足球賽事,以競爭激烈和精彩程度聞名
    英超是相當重要的足球賽事,以競爭激烈和精彩程度聞名
    英超全名為「英格蘭足球超級聯賽」,是足球賽事中最高級的足球聯賽之一,由英格蘭足球總會在1992年2月20日成立。英超是全世界最多人觀看的體育聯賽,因其英超隊伍全球知名度和競爭激烈而聞名,吸引來自世界各地的頂尖球星前來參賽。

    英超聯賽(English Premier League,縮寫EPL)由英國最頂尖的20支足球俱樂部參加,賽季通常從8月一直持續到5月,以下帶你來了解英超賽制和其他更詳細的資訊。

    英超賽制
    2023-24英超總共有20支隊伍參賽,以下是英超賽制介紹:

    採雙循環制,分主場及作客比賽,每支球隊共進行 38 場賽事。
    比賽採用三分制,贏球獲得3分,平局獲1分,輸球獲0分。
    以積分多寡分名次,若同分則以淨球數來區分排名,仍相同就以得球計算。如果還是相同,就會於中立場舉行一場附加賽決定排名。
    賽季結束後,根據積分排名,最高分者成為冠軍,而最後三支球隊則降級至英冠聯賽。
    英超升降級機制
    英超有一個相當特別的賽制規定,那就是「升降級」。賽季結束後,積分和排名最高的隊伍將直接晉升冠軍,而總排名最低的3支隊伍會被降級至英格蘭足球冠軍聯賽(英冠),這是僅次於英超的足球賽事。

    同時,英冠前2名的球隊直接升上下一賽季的英超,第3至6名則會以附加賽決定最後一個升級名額,英冠的隊伍都在爭取升級至英超,以獲得更高的收入和榮譽。

  116. 英超
    2023-24英超聯賽萬眾矚目,2023年8月12日開啟了第一場比賽,而接下來的賽事也正如火如荼地進行中。本文統整出英超賽程以及英超賽制等資訊,幫助你更加了解英超,同時也提供英超直播平台,讓你絕對不會錯過每一場精彩賽事。

    英超是什麼?
    英超是相當重要的足球賽事,以競爭激烈和精彩程度聞名
    英超是相當重要的足球賽事,以競爭激烈和精彩程度聞名
    英超全名為「英格蘭足球超級聯賽」,是足球賽事中最高級的足球聯賽之一,由英格蘭足球總會在1992年2月20日成立。英超是全世界最多人觀看的體育聯賽,因其英超隊伍全球知名度和競爭激烈而聞名,吸引來自世界各地的頂尖球星前來參賽。

    英超聯賽(English Premier League,縮寫EPL)由英國最頂尖的20支足球俱樂部參加,賽季通常從8月一直持續到5月,以下帶你來了解英超賽制和其他更詳細的資訊。

    英超賽制
    2023-24英超總共有20支隊伍參賽,以下是英超賽制介紹:

    採雙循環制,分主場及作客比賽,每支球隊共進行 38 場賽事。
    比賽採用三分制,贏球獲得3分,平局獲1分,輸球獲0分。
    以積分多寡分名次,若同分則以淨球數來區分排名,仍相同就以得球計算。如果還是相同,就會於中立場舉行一場附加賽決定排名。
    賽季結束後,根據積分排名,最高分者成為冠軍,而最後三支球隊則降級至英冠聯賽。
    英超升降級機制
    英超有一個相當特別的賽制規定,那就是「升降級」。賽季結束後,積分和排名最高的隊伍將直接晉升冠軍,而總排名最低的3支隊伍會被降級至英格蘭足球冠軍聯賽(英冠),這是僅次於英超的足球賽事。

    同時,英冠前2名的球隊直接升上下一賽季的英超,第3至6名則會以附加賽決定最後一個升級名額,英冠的隊伍都在爭取升級至英超,以獲得更高的收入和榮譽。

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  124. RG nhà cái
    In recent years, the landscape of digital entertainment and online gaming has expanded, with ‘nhà cái’ (betting houses or bookmakers) becoming a significant part. Among these, ‘nhà cái RG’ has emerged as a notable player. It’s essential to understand what these entities are and how they operate in the modern digital world.

    A ‘nhà cái’ essentially refers to an organization or an online platform that offers betting services. These can range from sports betting to other forms of wagering. The growth of internet connectivity and mobile technology has made these services more accessible than ever before.

    Among the myriad of options, ‘nhà cái RG’ has been mentioned frequently. It appears to be one of the numerous online betting platforms. The ‘RG’ could be an abbreviation or a part of the brand’s name. As with any online betting platform, it’s crucial for users to understand the terms, conditions, and the legalities involved in their country or region.

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  126. オンラインカジノレビュー
    オンラインカジノレビュー:選択の重要性
    オンラインカジノの世界への入門
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    レビューを読む際のポイント
    信頼性とライセンス:カジノが適切なライセンスを持ち、公平なゲームプレイを提供しているかどうか。
    ゲームの選択:多様なゲームオプションが提供されているかどうか。
    ボーナスとプロモーション:魅力的なウェルカムボーナス、リロードボーナス、VIPプログラムがあるかどうか。
    顧客サポート:サポートの応答性と有効性。
    出金オプション:出金の速度と方法。
    プレイヤーの体験
    良いオンラインカジノレビューは、実際のプレイヤーの体験に基づいています。これには、ゲームプレイの楽しさ、カスタマーサポートへの対応、そして出金プロセスの簡単さが含まれます。プレイヤーのフィードバックは、カジノの品質を判断するのに役立ちます。

    結論
    オンラインカジノを選択する際には、詳細なオンラインカジノレビューを参照することが重要です。これらのレビューは、安全で楽しいギャンブル体験を確実にするための信頼できる情報源となります。適切なカジノを選ぶことは、オンラインギャンブルでの成功への第一歩です。

  127. オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの現代的展開
    オンラインカジノの世界は、技術の進歩と共に急速に進化しています。これらのプラットフォームは、従来の実際のカジノの体験をデジタル空間に移し、プレイヤーに新しい形式の娯楽を提供しています。オンラインカジノは、スロットマシン、ポーカー、ブラックジャック、ルーレットなど、さまざまなゲームを提供しており、実際のカジノの興奮を維持しながら、アクセスの容易さと利便性を提供します。

    一方で、オンラインギャンブルは、より広範な概念であり、スポーツベッティング、宝くじ、バーチャルスポーツ、そしてオンラインカジノゲームまでを含んでいます。インターネットとモバイルテクノロジーの普及により、オンラインギャンブルは世界中で大きな人気を博しています。オンラインプラットフォームは、伝統的な賭博施設に比べて、より多様なゲーム選択、便利なアクセス、そしてしばしば魅力的なボーナスやプロモーションを提供しています。

    安全性と規制
    オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの世界では、安全性と規制が非常に重要です。多くの国々では、オンラインギャンブルを規制する法律があり、安全なプレイ環境を確保するためのライセンスシステムを設けています。これにより、不正行為や詐欺からプレイヤーを守るとともに、責任ある賭博の促進が図られています。

    技術の進歩
    最新のテクノロジーは、オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの体験を一層豊かにしています。例えば、仮想現実(VR)技術の使用は、プレイヤーに没入型のギャンブル体験を提供し、実際のカジノにいるかのような感覚を生み出しています。また、ブロックチェーン技術の導入は、より透明で安全な取引を可能にし、プレイヤーの信頼を高めています。

    未来への展望
    オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルは、今後も技術の進歩とともに進化し続けるでしょう。人工知能(AI)の更なる統合、モバイル技術の発展、さらには新しいゲームの創造により、この分野は引き続き成長し、世界中のプレイヤーに新しい娯楽の形を提供し続けることでしょう。

    この記事では、オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの現状、安全性、技術の影響、そして将来の展望に焦点を当てています。この分野は、技術革新によって絶えず変化し続ける魅力的な領域です。

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  129. 最新民調
    最新的民調顯示,2024年台灣總統大選的競爭格局已逐漸明朗。根據不同來源的數據,目前民進黨的賴清德與民眾黨的柯文哲、國民黨的侯友宜正處於激烈的競爭中。

    一項民調指出,賴清德的支持度平均約34.78%,侯友宜為29.55%,而柯文哲則為23.42%​​。
    另一家媒體的民調顯示,賴清德的支持率為32%,侯友宜為27%,柯文哲則為21%​​。
    台灣民意基金會的最新民調則顯示,賴清德以36.5%的支持率領先,柯文哲以29.1%緊隨其後,侯友宜則以20.4%位列第三​​。
    綜合這些數據,可以看出賴清德在目前的民調中處於領先地位,但其他候選人的支持度也不容小覷,競爭十分激烈。這些民調結果反映了選民的當前看法,但選情仍有可能隨著選舉日的臨近而變化。

  130. 最新的民調顯示,2024年台灣總統大選的競爭格局已逐漸明朗。根據不同來源的數據,目前民進黨的賴清德與民眾黨的柯文哲、國民黨的侯友宜正處於激烈的競爭中。

    一項總統民調指出,賴清德的支持度平均約34.78%,侯友宜為29.55%,而柯文哲則為23.42%​​。
    另一家媒體的民調顯示,賴清德的支持率為32%,侯友宜為27%,柯文哲則為21%​​。
    台灣民意基金會的最新民調則顯示,賴清德以36.5%的支持率領先,柯文哲以29.1%緊隨其後,侯友宜則以20.4%位列第三​​。
    綜合這些數據,可以看出賴清德在目前的民調中處於領先地位,但其他候選人的支持度也不容小覷,競爭十分激烈。這些民調結果反映了選民的當前看法,但選情仍有可能隨著選舉日的臨近而變化。

  131. 民意調查是什麼?民調什麼意思?
    民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗,簡稱民調。一般而言,民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度,由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。

    目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介,對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣,利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀,且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
    以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性:

    抽樣:由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見,所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
    問卷設計:為了確保獲得可靠的結果,問卷必須經過精心設計,問題要清晰、不帶偏見,且易於理解。
    數據分析:收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等,以及更複雜的統計分析。
    多種用途:民意調查可以用於各種目的,包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
    限制:雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具,但它也有其限制。例如,樣本可能不完全代表目標人群,或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
    影響決策:民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
    透明度和誠實:為了維護調查的可信度,調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
    民調是怎麼調查的?
    民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求,以科學、系統與公正的資料,蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣),設計問卷題目後,以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價,利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法,來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法,藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。

    以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟:

    定義目標和目的:首先,調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法?還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率?
    設計問卷:根據調查目的,研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題,並避免導向性的語言。
    選擇樣本:因為通常不可能調查所有人,所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣,以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
    收集數據:有多種方法可以收集數據,如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
    數據分析:一旦數據被收集,研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析,得出結論或洞見。
    報告結果:分析完數據後,研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
    解釋誤差範圍:多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍,例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
    民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行,且使用科學的方法,那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差,因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。

    為什麼要做民調?
    民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣,以下是一些主要的動機:

    政策制定和評估:政府和政策制定者進行民調,以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策,以反映大眾的需求和意見。
    選舉和政治活動:政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位,了解哪些議題對選民最重要,以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
    市場研究:企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度,從而制定或調整市場策略。
    社會科學研究:學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征,以及其與行為的關係。
    公眾與媒體的期望:民調提供了一種方式,使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果,提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
    提供反饋和評估:無論是企業還是政府,都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果,並根據反饋進行改進。
    預測和趨勢分析:民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展,如選舉結果、市場需求等。
    教育和提高公眾意識:通過進行和公布民調,可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。

    民調可信嗎?
    民意調查的結果數據隨處可見,尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送,對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比,然而大家又信多少?

    在景美市場的訪問中,我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示,他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮,主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控,以符合特定政治目標。

    受訪者還提到,民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說,他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響,例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否,而不是單純依賴民調結果。

    從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是,大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度,並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。

  132. ban ca xeng
    Có đa dạng loại game bắn cá, mỗi thể loại mang theo những quy tắc và phong cách chơi độc đáo. Vì vậy, người mới tham gia nên dành thời gian để nắm vững luật lệ của từng loại mà họ quan tâm. Chẳng hạn, việc hiểu rõ các nguyên tắc cơ bản như săn cá, tính điểm, loại mồi, cách đặt cược, hay quá trình đổi xèng là quan trọng để có trải nghiệm chơi tốt nhất.

    Bên cạnh đó, khi tham gia vào trò chơi, cũng cần phải đảm bảo rằng bạn hiểu rõ các quy định cụ thể của từng cổng game để tránh những hiểu lầm không mong muốn.

    Nhiều cổng game bắn cá hiện nay cung cấp lựa chọn bàn chơi miễn phí, mở ra cơ hội cho người chơi mới thâm nhập thế giới này mà không cần phải đầu tư xèng. Bằng cách tham gia vào các ván chơi không mất chi phí, người chơi có thể học được quy tắc chơi, tiếp xúc với các chiến thuật, hiểu rõ sự biến động của trò chơi, và khám phá các nền tảng và phần mềm mà không phải lo lắng về áp lực tài chính.

    Quá trình trải nghiệm miễn phí sẽ giúp người chơi mới tích luỹ kinh nghiệm, xây dựng lòng tin vào bản thân, từ đó họ có thể chuyển đổi sang chơi với xèng mà không gặp phải nhiều khó khăn và ngần ngại.

    Hiểu rõ về ý nghĩa của vị trí trong bàn săn cá là vô cùng quan trọng. Ví dụ, người chơi đặt mình ở vị trí đầu bàn phải đối mặt với thách thức của việc đưa ra quyết định mà không biết được cách mà đối thủ phía sau sẽ hành động. Ngược lại, người chơi ở vị trí giữa có đôi chút lợi thế khi phải đối mặt với ít áp lực hơn, có thể quan sát cách chơi của một số đối thủ trước đó, nhưng vẫn phải đưa ra quyết định mà không biết trước hành động của một số đối thủ khác. Người chơi ở vị trí cuối được ưu thế vì họ có thể quan sát và phân tích hành động của đối thủ trước khi tới lượt họ đưa ra quyết định. Nguyên tắc chung là, vị trí càng cao, người chơi càng có lợi thế trong
    ban ca xeng.

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