Nacionales

En qué provincias debería irle bien al FdT para garantizarse el quórum propio en Diputados

Según las estimaciones de parlamentario.com, es imposible que el oficialismo alcance por sí solo el número clave de 129 bancas propias, y lo más probable es que tampoco llegue con aliados. A menos que tenga resultados más positivos que lo estimado incluso en distritos donde es seguro que perderá. Detalle de cada distrito.

El Gobierno se ha puesto como objetivo alcanzar un porcentaje superior al 40% de los votos en todo el país y un 42% o más en la provincia de Buenos Aires, con el fin de acceder al objetivo central oficialista de esta elección: tener el quórum propio en la Cámara de Diputados. Un ámbito clave en el que durante los primeros dos años de gestión de Alberto Fernández quedaron encallados los proyectos más controvertidos impulsados por el oficialismo.

Es el precio que paga esta administración por ser solo primera minoría en esa Cámara. A diferencia del Senado, donde todos los proyectos que no requieran los 2/3 de los votos tienen garantizada su aprobación. Y así salieron prestamente aprobados en el Senado esas iniciativas que luego quedaron frenadas en Diputados, cosa que llevó en su momento al senador Oscar Parrilli a expresar un fuerte reproche durante una sesión porque durmieran el sueño de los justos en la otra cámara.

Puntualmente hay dos proyectos en los que el kirchnerismo tiene particular interés y que fueron frenados por la oposición en pleno: la reforma judicial y, sobre todo, la del Ministerio Público Fiscal. Incluso el tratamiento de la ley de emergencia Covid fue postergado una y otra vez porque tampoco estaban los votos para su aprobación, y ningún oficialismo puede arriesgarse a perder una votación.

Respecto de los bloques “amigos”, el FdT sabe que contará siempre con los tres misioneros, y casi siempre con los dos de Juntos Somos Río Negro y el o la del Movimiento Popular Neuquino.

Ese 40% a nivel nacional y 42% en la provincia es lo que dejaría conforme al Gobierno nacional, según se expresa en el Manual de Campaña cuyos detalles trascendieron los últimos días. Porque se ha instalado que ese es el porcentaje que le abriría al Gobierno las puertas del quórum propio en la Cámara que no alcanza a controlar. Aunque nada es tan lineal: llegar al número preciado de diputados necesarios para el oficialismo es una empresa complicada, que impone un ejercicio muy preciso para establecer en qué distritos sería posible hacer la diferencia necesaria que garantice alcanzar ese número de diputados para que el oficialismo deje de lado definitivamente las preocupaciones por los próximos dos años.

En síntesis, no hay un porcentaje establecido a nivel nacional que tranquilice o altere al Gobierno: puede aproximarse al número mágico -mas no llegar- mejorando resultados en provincias adversas.

El jefe del interbloque de Juntos por el Cambio en Diputados, Mario Negri, le puso número a esa prevención: “Estamos a 7 bancas de que Cristina se quede con todo”, graficó recientemente. Porque en rigor, el Frente de Todos lo que necesita es una decena más de votos que los que tiene en la actualidad, pero el propio diputado cordobés recordó que hacerse de los tres votos restantes es tarea sencilla para cualquier oficialismo.

117 ha sido el número en el que se plantó el Frente de Todos a lo largo de la gestión de Alberto Fernández. Porque esos son los votos propios con que cuenta, en parte por responsabilidad propia –José Ignacio De Mendiguren estuvo todo este tiempo de licencia, para evitar que en su lugar asumiera un opositor-, y Sergio Massa cuenta para el quórum, mas no vota, salvo que haya que desempatar. Esta última semana el número formal de diputados del Frente de Todos subió a 120, al sumar finalmente a Eduardo “Bali” Bucca, quien de todas maneras dejará su banca a fin de año. El exintendente de Bolívar fue una de las “ruedas de auxilio” con las que contó todo este tiempo el Gobierno nacional en la Cámara baja. Presidía el interbloque Federal, una bancada de 11 miembros que solía colaborar con el oficialismo. Pero no siempre, y sobre todo no en las leyes más controversiales. Hablamos de los 4 diputados de Córdoba Federal, los 3 de Consenso Federal, los 2 justicialistas y los monobloquistas Luis Contiggiani Enrique Estévez.

Mario Negri le puso número a esa prevención: “Estamos a 7 bancas de que Cristina se quede con todo”, graficó recientemente.

Con los que el oficialismo sí contó prácticamente siempre fue con los miembros del interbloque Unidad Federal para el Desarrollo. Conocidos como “Los Ramones”, por el liderazgo que ejercía allí el mendocino José Luis Ramón, quien terminó blanqueando esa relación al filo del cierre de listas, cuando se sumó al oficialismo, mas sin lograr mechar su nombre en la lista para renovar.

De esos seis miembros solo dos de ellos continuarán en sus bancas. Hay además dos bloques con los que el oficialismo ha contado muchas veces: el de Acción Federal (2 diputados) y la neuquina Alma Sapag. De esos tres, solo el riojano Felipe Alvarez continúa hasta 2023.

Cómo podría llegar a festejar el Frente de Todos

Detallados los aliados con los que contó hasta ahora el oficialismo, habría que considerar que, como están las cosas y analizando los resultados de las últimas dos elecciones, le será imposible al Frente de Todos alcanzar el número de diputados suficiente para tener quórum propio, aunque contando posibles aliados quedaría a las puertas del mismo.

Pero el Gobierno podría superar ese número en caso de tener mejores resultados -nada extraordinario- en Ciudad de Buenos Aires y Córdoba, donde podría sumar dos diputados propios más (uno en cada distrito). Y podría tocar el cielo con las manos si lograra imponerse en distritos ajenos como Corrientes y Jujuy, y mejorar un poco su performance en Tucumán. Podría sumar así tres miembros más para la bancada oficialista.

En caso de suceder estas dos alternativas, la bancada propia podría llegar a ser de 127 diputadosSin contar a los eventuales aliados.

52 diputados renueva el Frente de Todos.

60 diputados son los que debe renovar Juntos por el Cambio.

120 diputados tiene actualmente el bloque oficialista.

115 son los diputados que integran el interbloque Juntos por el Cambio.

Respecto de los bloques “amigos”, el FdT sabe que contará siempre con los tres misioneros, y casi siempre con los dos de Juntos Somos Río Negro y el o la del Movimiento Popular Neuquino. Posiblemente también con el riojano Felipe Alvarez, exCambiemos, aunque éste no ha mostrado nunca todas sus cartas.

Según los cálculos realizados por parlamentario.com basados en las últimas dos elecciones y las expectativas en cada provincia, el oficialismo podría perder dos bancas en la provincia de Buenos Aires, pero sumaría una en Mendoza, Salta, Santa Cruz y probablemente en Chaco. Además de la segura obtención de un escaño por parte de Juntos Somos Río Negro, a expensas de Juntos por el Cambio.

La principal oposición, según las estimaciones, estaría alcanzando una banca más de las que arriesga, sumando así 61 escaños, que con los que tienen mandato hasta 2023 elevaría el número del interbloque a 115.

Veamos ahora en cada distrito cómo es que llegamos a las conclusiones que hemos detallado.

Provincia por provincia

BUENOS AIRES

Luego de que el bloque oficialista sumara a “Bali” Bucca, el Frente de Todos arriesga en esta elección 17 de las 35 bancas en disputa en el principal distrito del país. Juntos por el Cambio alcanzó en 2017 15 bancas, pero uno de esos diputados, Pablo Ansaloni, se fue de Cambiemos cuando perdieron la elección. En 2017 el entonces oficialismo consiguió un 42,15% de los votos, en tanto que Unidad Ciudadana se alzó con 13 bancas a partir del 36.28% obtenido. El massismo, que fue a la elección bajo el nombre de 1País cosechó 4 escaños, producto del 11,03% alcanzado.

En la elección de 2019 el Frente de Todos se alzó nada menos que con 19 bancas, producto de un hoy impensado 52,64%. Juntos por el Cambio cosechó un 37,77% que le valió 14 escaños. Esto es: la principal oposición tiene prácticamente garantizado mantener las bancas que arriesga, mientras que si el FdT alcanzara el porcentaje que se ha puesto como meta conseguiría 15 bancas, dos menos que las que expone.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (17): Claudia Alicia Bernazza, Eduardo Bucca, Walter Correa, José Ignacio De Mendiguren, Héctor Fernández, Marcelo Koenig, Mónica Macha, Leopoldo Moreau, Carlos Ortega, Nicolás Rodríguez Saá, Laura Russo, María Liliana Schwindt, Vanesa Siley, Mirta Tundis, Romina Uhrig, Fernanda Vallejos y Hugo Yasky.

Juntos por el Cambio (14): Juan Aicega, Hernán Berisso, Adriana Cáceres, Marcela Campagnoli, Javier Campos, Carlos Alberto Fernández, Ezequiel Fernández Langan, Héctor Flores, Martín Nicolás Medina, Josefina Mendoza, María Graciela Ocaña, María Carla Piccolomini, Fabio Quetglas y Natalia Soledad Villa.

Otros (4): Jorge Sarghini, Pablo Miguel Ansaloni, Juan Carlos Giordano y Mónica Leticia Schlotthauer.

CATAMARCA

Hay tres bancas en juego aquí y un resultado cantado: dos serán para el Frente de Todos y la restante para Juntos por el Cambio. Así sucedió en 2017, cuando el Frente Justicialista para la Victoria sumó un 47,84%, contra el 41,86 del Frente Cívico y Social Cambiemos.

En 2019, el Frente de Todos arrasó con un 61,32% y Juntos por el Cambio logró apenas un 33,84, pero así y todo el reparto de las dos bancas en disputa fue equitativo.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (2): Silvana Micaela Ginocchi y Dante Edgardo López Rodríguez.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Eduardo Brizuela del Moral.

CHACO

Esta provincia puede llegar a ser clave para el Gobierno. Hay 4 bancas en disputa en la provincia donde gobierna Jorge Capitanich. En 2017 fue 2 a 2. En esa elección Cambiemos ganó con el 41,79%, contra el 39,62% del Frente Chaco Merece Más. Pero el peronismo esa vez había ido separado, pues Unidad Ciudadana cosechó un 10,76%. En cambio en 2019 el Frente de Todos unido se alzó con una cómoda victoria por el 56,70%, reuniendo JxC esa vez un 36,45%. Había esa vez tres bancas en disputa y el reparto fue 2 a 1.

Ahora bien, la comparación que conviene hacer es la de 2013, cuando también se ponían en juego cuatro bancas. Esa vez el Frente para la Victoria obtuvo 59,32% y la Alianza Unión por Chaco 36,19. Tres diputados fueron para el peronismo y uno para la oposición, por lo que ese es el diagnóstico que hemos calculado en este trabajo: 3 a 1.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (2): Juan Mosqueda y Elda Pértile.

Juntos por el Cambio (2): Aída Ayala y Alicia Terada,.

CHUBUT

En esas provincias donde solo hay dos bancas en disputa, no hay mucho que analizar. Es el caso de Chubut en esta elección, donde la elección fue muy pareja en 2017 con el peronismo dividido, y Chubut Para Todos se quedó con una banca con el 33,23% Cambiemos con la otra, con su  31,16%. En 2019 el resultado fue 53,45% para el Frente de Todos y 32,29% para JxC y esa vez el reparto fue 2 a 1. Ahora se espera que se repartan nuevamente las dos bancas en juego.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Rosa Rosario Muñoz.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Gustavo Menna.

CIUDAD AUTONOMA DE BUENOS AIRES

Después de provincia de Buenos Aires, CABA es la que más diputados pone en juego. Aquí el que lleva las de perder es, paradójicamente, el amplio favorito. Pasa que Juntos por el Cambio arriesga 10 bancas que obtuvo en 2017, cuando la lista de Vamos Juntos se alzó con 8 escaños, producto de su 50,98%, mientras que la lista de Evolución, que motorizaba Martín Lousteau cosechó un 12,30% que le valieron dos bancas. Esa vez el kirchnerismo reunió un 21,74%, que le alcanzaron para sumar tres diputados.

En 2019, elección presidencial, Juntos por el Cambio arrasó con un 53,02, que se tradujo en 8 diputados, y esa sería hoy la expectativa a alcanzar en esta elección. El Frente de Todos alcanzó un 32,05% que redundó en 4 bancas. Y ese es el objetivo del Gobierno nacional: alcanzar 4 escaños en esta elección, aunque habría que ver si la lista de Javier Milei alcanza a emular de algún modo lo hecho por Lousteau en 2017, para quedarse con algún escaño y dejar al FdT en tres. Tendría que sumar más que el Frente de Izquierda, que en 2019 se quedó sin nada a pesar de sumar el 6,13%.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (3): Gabriela Cerruti, Carlos Salomón Heller y Gisela Marziotta.

Juntos por el Cambio (10): Ana Carla Carrizo, Álvaro De Lamadrid, Jorge Ricardo Enríquez, Alejandro García, Fernando Adolfo Iglesias, Juan Manuel López, Paula Mariana Oliveto Lago, José Luis Patiño, Carmen Polledo y Facundo Suárez Lastra.

CORDOBA

Esta es otra de las provincias donde el oficialismo es clara minoría, pero podría sumar más de lo que arriesga. Pone en juego un solo escaño, contra 5 de Juntos por el Cambio, que en 2019 sumó un 51,32% y se alzó con 6 bancas. Esa vez el Frente de Todos alcanzó un 22,31% que le sirvió para tener 2 bancas, quedando la restante para Hacemos por Córdoba, que reunió un 17%. Sería el deseo del Frente de Todos emular este año esa elección, pero en este comicio en el que se votan también senadores, Unión por Córdoba buscará hacer una elección como la de 2017, cuando se alzó con un 30,48% de los votos, que equivalieron a tres bancas. Esa vez el kirchnerismo apenas sumó un 9,71% y le alcanzó solo para la banca que hoy expone.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Pablo Carro.

Juntos por el Cambio (5): Brenda Lis Austin, Héctor Baldassi, María Soledad Carrizo, Gabriel Alberto Frizza y Diego Mestre.

Otros (3): Paulo Leonardo Cassinerio, Claudia Gabriela Márquez y Alejandra María Vigo.

CORRIENTES

Esta es otra de las provincias donde gobierna la oposición y se ponen en juego 3 bancas. El ganador se llevará dos. Juntos por el Cambio expone los dos lugares que consiguió en 2017 con el 55,43%. Esa vez Juntos Podemos Más sumó apenas un 25,58% y el Frente Renovador el 14,84.

Pero en 2019 el ganador fue el Frente de Todos, con el 50,98% de los votos. ECO + Juntos por el Cambio tuvo un 44,01%, pero en esa oportunidad se repartían 4 bancas y fueron dos para cada uno. Ahora el favorito es el oficialismo provincial en esta elección en la que también se votan senadores, aunque el Frente de Todos aspira a dar el batacazo. Pero en el cálculo prevemos 2-1 para JxC.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Jorge Antonio Romero.

Juntos por el Cambio (2): Sofía Brambilla y Estela Mercedes Regidor Belledone.

ENTRE RIOS

Aquí también hay un número impar de bancas en disputa (5), con lo que el ganador se quedará con 3. Fue lo que sucedió en 2017, cuando Cambiemos alcanzó el 53,02% de los votos, contra el 37,97% del Frente Justicialista. En 2019 fue mucho más parejo, pero también ganó JxC: 45,72% a 45,20%. Esa vez se repartieron 2 bancas para cada uno.

Hoy el favorito es Juntos por el Cambio, como sucede en toda la franja central del país.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (2): Mayda Cresto y Ana Carolina Gaillard.

Juntos por el Cambio (3): Atilio Francisco Benedetti, Alicia

Fregonese y Jorge Enrique Lacoste.

FORMOSA

Otra provincia donde hay solo dos bancas en juego, que se repartirán el Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio. En 2017, a pesar de la amplitud de la victoria peronista (61,89% a 36,58%), fue 1 a 1.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Gustavo Ramiro Fernández Patri.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Mario Horacio Arce.

JUJUY

Con tres bancas en disputa, Juntos por el Cambio es favorito por ser el gobierno provincial de ese signo. Pero en las provincias del norte nunca se sabe… En 2017 Cambiemos se alzó con 2 bancas, luego de obtener un 51,73%. Esa vez un peronismo dividido apenas cosechó el 19,78%, y se quedó con la restante. Pero en 2019 el Frente de Todos alcanzó un 45,40%, contra el 43,38% de JxC, revirtiendo el reparto.

El Gobierno nacional confía en poder repetir el resultado de 2019, aunque en nuestro cálculo ponemos 2-1 para JxC.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): José Luis Martiarena.

Juntos por el Cambio (2): María Gabriela Burgos y Osmar Antonio Monaldi.

LA PAMPA

No hay ningún misterio en lo que sucederá en La Pampa, con 3 bancas en discusión. En 2017 el Frente Cambiemos perdió apenas por unas décimas, y esa diferencia se tradujo en una banca menos. El resultado esa vez fue 45,42 para el PJ, 45,39 para Cambiemos. En 2019 el FdT ganó por 51,63 a 39,40, pero entonces solo había dos bancas en juego, que se repartieron.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (2): Delú, Melina Aída y Rauschenberger, Ariel.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Maquieyra, Martín.

LA RIOJA

Otra provincia donde no hay misterios, pues se reparten solo dos bancas y será una para cada uno. Cambiemos ganó en 20178 por 44,78 a 44,15, pero en 2019 el FdT lo revirtió 52,18 a 44,73. En esa oportunidad le valió tener un diputado más, pues se repartían tres.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Danilo Adrián Flores.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Julio Enrique Sahad.

MENDOZA

En la provincia cuyana gobernada por el radicalismo hay 5 bancas en juego. Este es otro de los distritos donde el Frente de Todos va claramente de punto, pero así y todo puede sumar más de lo que tiene. Porque en la elección de 2017 se coló el Partido Intransigente, por el que esa vez compitió José Luis Ramón, y con el 17,19% alcanzó una de las cinco bancas en disputa esa vez. A expensas del peronismo, que sumó apenas una, con el 25,38% que obtuvo entonces. Cambiemos ganó entonces tres escaños con el 45,73%.

En 2019 Cambia Mendoza superó el 50% y consiguió la misma cantidad de bancas. El Frente de Todos rozó el 38% y se quedó con 2. Ese sería esta vez el resultado más previsible, con lo que el bloque de Máximo Kirchner ganaría un miembro más, aunque el voto casi siempre lo tuvo con José Luis Ramón.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Omar Chafi Félix.

Juntos por el Cambio (3): Claudia Najul, Luis Alfonso Petri y Federico Raúl Zamarbide.

Otros (1): José Luis Ramón.

MISIONES

Aquí el oficialismo provincial es el que suele imponerse y si bien sus diputados no se suman al bloque de Máximo Kirchner, le votan todo. Es el Frente Renovador de la Concordia, que en las elecciones legislativas hace sus mejores elecciones: en 2017 se impuso con el 42,76% alzándose con dos escaños, quedando el restante para el Frente Cambiemos (33,76).

En las presidenciales de 2019 ganó el Frente de Todos, con el 34,94%, mientras que JxC tuvo 33,58%. El Frente Renovador salió tercero esa vez, con 28,60%.

Todo indica que en esta elección el oficialismo provincial se quedará con dos escaños y el restante será para JxC.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Luis Mario Pastori.

Otros (2): Flavia Morales y Ricardo Wellbach.

NEUQUEN

Hay tres escaños en disputa este año en esta provincia, y tres jugadores que se repartirán las bancas, como sucedió en 2017, cuando Cambiemos se alzó con un 28,21%, el MPN con el 21,41 y Unidad Ciudadana con el 19,36.

En las presidenciales de hace dos años, el Frente de Todos se impuso, con un 36,39% sobre JxC, que sumó 32,70, y ambos se repartieron las dos bancas en disputa entonces. El Movimiento Popular Neuquino obtuvo un 20,76%.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Carlos Alberto Vivero.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): David Pablo Schlereth.

Otros (1): Alma Liliana Sapag.

RIO NEGRO

En esta provincia este año hay dos bancas en discusión y todo indica que Juntos por el Cambio perderá una, por la irrupción del oficialismo provincial, que lleva el nombre de Juntos Somos Río Negro. Ya irrumpió en las elecciones de 2019, cuando se alzó con un 32,05% y quedó segundo y con la tercera banca en disputa. El Frente de Todos se alzó con dos, a partir de sus 45 puntos, mientras que Juntos por el Cambio apenas reunió un 18,98%.

En 2017 al Frente para la Victoria le había ido también muy bien, con el 49,36%, mientras que Cambiemos tuvo una mejor elección, con el 31,99%. Esa vez se repartieron los escaños.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Ayelén Spósito.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Lorena Matzen.

SALTA

En 2017 el peronismo fue dividido y Cambiemos ganó esa elección de tres tercios por 30,25%. El Frente Unidad y Renovación logró un 24,44% y el kirchnerismo el 23,24%. Los tres se repartieron las bancas en juego.

En 2019 el Frente de Todos ganó por el 46,68%, mientras que JxC obtuvo un 34,65%. Había cuatro escaños en disputa que se repartieron de manera equitativa. Ahora, con el peronismo unido y solo tres escaños en juego, lo más probable es que el Frente de Todos se alce con dos y el restante sea para JxC.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Alcira Elsa Figueroa.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Martín Grande.

Otros (1): Andrés Zottos.

SAN JUAN

No habrá imprevistos en San Juan, donde hay en disputa tres escaños. Dos serán para el Frente de Todos, que ya ganó en 2019 54,79% a 38,37%, y uno para JxC. Un resultado muy similar al que se dio en 2017 (53,689 a 31,49).

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (2): Walberto Enrique Allende y Francisco Guevara.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Eduardo Augusto Cáceres.

SAN LUIS

El Frente de Todos confía en quedarse con dos de las tres bancas en juego. Pero el antecedente más reciente no lo favorece. En las presidenciales 2019, cuando el Frente de Todos ganó en la mayoría de los distritos, no lo hizo en San Luis, donde Juntos por el Cambio se impuso 46,67 a 43,87 del Frente de Todos. Pero se repartían entonces dos escaños.

En 2017 en cambio el Frente Unidad Justicialista había ganado 55 a 43.

JxC confía en dar la sorpresa repitiendo el resultado más reciente y con ese objetivo encabezará la lista el exgobernador y actual senador nacional Claudio Poggi. Con todo, hemos calculado la posibilidad de que el Frente de Todos retenga sus dos bancas.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (2): Karim lume Sbodio y Victoria Rosso.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): José Luis Riccardo.

SANTA CRUZ

Desde hace un tiempo la oposición viene ganando las elecciones intermedias en esta provincia, pero el antecedente más reciente muestra una severa derrota, que es lo que hace pensar que aquí el Frente de Todos se quedará con dos de los tres lugares en juego.

En 2019 el FdT consiguió un 62,13%, contra el 29,30% de JxC. En 2017, en cambio, Cambiemos había obtenido un 43,91%, contra el 31,96 del Frente para la Victoria. De los dos diputados que consiguió esa vez, uno se le fue y suele votar con el oficialismo.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Juan Benedicto Vázquez.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Roxana Nahir Reyes.

Otros (1): Antonio José Carambia.

SANTA FE

Otra de las provincias grandes donde Juntos por el Cambio se ilusiona con ganar. Apuesta a retener los cinco diputados que arriesga, con lo que tendría que repetir el resultado de las dos últimas elecciones: en 2017 consiguió 37,80% y en 2019 43,30%, lo que en ambos casos le valió cinco escaños.

El Frente Justicialista obtuvo un 25,90% en 2017, que le reportó tres diputados, en tanto que el Frente Progresista Cívico y Social se quedó con el diputado restante con su 14,63%.

En 2019, Juntos por el Cambio subió a 43,30, mientras que el Frente de Todos alcanzó un 42,26%, con lo que sumó cuatro diputados. El socialismo fue socio de Consenso Federal y reunió un 10% que le valió un diputado.

Con nueve escaños en disputa, se espera repetir el resultado de 2017.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (3): Esteban Mateo Bogdanich, Josefina Victoria González y Patricia Mounier.

Juntos por el Cambio (5): Albor Ángel Cantard, Gonzalo Pedro Del Cerro, Luciano Andrés Laspina, María Lucila Lehmann y Gisela Scaglia.

Otros (1): Luis Gustavo Contigiani.

SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO

En esta provincia el oficialismo provincial suele quedarse con todas las bancas en disputa, que aporta luego al bloque Frente de Todos. Juntos por el Cambio sumó en 2017 17 puntos y dos años después, 18, así que el Frente Cívico por Santiago se volverá a quedar sin dudas con los tres diputados en juego este año.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (3): Norma Abdala de Matarazzo, Bernardo José Herrera y María Luisa Montoto.

TIERRA DEL FUEGO

Con dos diputaciones en juego, no hay mucho misterio en esta provincia en la que en 2019 ganó el Frente de Todos con 38,67% y JxC logró un 23,68%. En 2017 el resultado fue más parejo, con el kirchnerismo imponiéndose por 29,96 puntos contra 29,77 de Cambiemos.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (1): Carolina Yutrovic.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): Héctor Antonio Stefani.

TUCUMAN

Con cuatro bancas en juego, en esta provincia lo más probable es que se las dividan el Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio, como sucedió en 2017, cuando el resultado fue 46,89% contra 32,56%.

En 2019 el resultado fue más holgado para el oficialismo: 55,25 a 32,26, y entonces el reparto fue 3 a 2, pero con un número de bancas en juego par y un oficialismo con serias diferencias entre sí, se augura un reparto equitativo.

Se les vence el mandato a:

Frente de Todos (2): Gladys Medina y Pablo Raúl Yedlin.

Juntos por el Cambio (1): José Manuel Cano.

Otros (1): Beatriz Ávila.

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  983. 2023 年玩彩票並投注體育
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  992. The neural network will create beautiful girls!

    Geneticists are already hard at work creating stunning women. They will create these beauties based on specific requests and parameters using a neural network. The network will work with artificial insemination specialists to facilitate DNA sequencing.

    The visionary for this concept is Alex Gurk, the co-founder of numerous initiatives and ventures aimed at creating beautiful, kind and attractive women who are genuinely connected to their partners. This direction stems from the recognition that in modern times the attractiveness and attractiveness of women has declined due to their increased independence. Unregulated and incorrect eating habits have led to problems such as obesity, causing women to deviate from their innate appearance.

    The project received support from various well-known global companies, and sponsors readily stepped in. The essence of the idea is to offer willing men sexual and everyday communication with such wonderful women.

    If you are interested, you can apply now as a waiting list has been created.

  993. የነርቭ አውታረመረብ ቆንጆ ልጃገረዶችን ይፈጥራል!

    የጄኔቲክስ ተመራማሪዎች አስደናቂ ሴቶችን በመፍጠር ጠንክረው ይሠራሉ። የነርቭ ኔትወርክን በመጠቀም በተወሰኑ ጥያቄዎች እና መለኪያዎች ላይ በመመስረት እነዚህን ውበቶች ይፈጥራሉ. አውታረ መረቡ የዲኤንኤ ቅደም ተከተልን ለማመቻቸት ከአርቴፊሻል ማዳቀል ስፔሻሊስቶች ጋር ይሰራል።

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    ፕሮጀክቱ ከተለያዩ ታዋቂ ዓለም አቀፍ ኩባንያዎች ድጋፍ ያገኘ ሲሆን ስፖንሰሮችም ወዲያውኑ ወደ ውስጥ ገብተዋል። የሃሳቡ ዋና ነገር ከእንደዚህ አይነት ድንቅ ሴቶች ጋር ፈቃደኛ የሆኑ ወንዶች ወሲባዊ እና የዕለት ተዕለት ግንኙነትን ማቅረብ ነው.

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  994. 《539開獎:探索台灣的熱門彩券遊戲》

    539彩券是台灣彩券市場上的一個重要組成部分,擁有大量的忠實玩家。每當»539開獎»的時刻來臨,不少人都會屏息以待,期盼自己手中的彩票能夠帶來好運。

    ### 539彩券的起源

    539彩券在台灣的歷史可以追溯到數十年前。它是為了滿足大眾對小型彩券遊戲的需求而誕生的。與其他大型彩券遊戲相比,539的玩法簡單,投注金額也相對較低,因此迅速受到了大眾的喜愛。

    ### 539開獎的過程

    «539開獎»是一個公正、公開的過程。每次開獎,都會有專業的工作人員和公證人在場監督,以確保開獎的公正性。開獎過程中,專業的機器會隨機抽取五個號碼,這五個號碼就是當期的中獎號碼。

    ### 如何參與539彩券?

    參與539彩券非常簡單。玩家只需要到指定的彩券銷售點,選擇自己心儀的五個號碼,然後購買彩票即可。當然,現在也有許多線上平台提供539彩券的購買服務,玩家可以不出門就能參與遊戲。

    ### 539開獎的魅力

    每當»539開獎»的時刻來臨,不少玩家都會聚集在電視機前,或是上網查詢開獎結果。這種期待和緊張的感覺,就是539彩券吸引人的地方。畢竟,每一次開獎,都有可能創造出新的百萬富翁。

    ### 結語

    539彩券是台灣彩券市場上的一顆明星,它以其簡單的玩法和低廉的投注金額受到了大眾的喜愛。»539開獎»不僅是一個遊戲過程,更是許多人夢想成真的機會。但需要提醒的是,彩券遊戲應該理性參與,不應過度沉迷,更不應該拿生活所需的資金來投注。希望每一位玩家都能夠健康、快樂地參與539彩券,享受遊戲的樂趣。

  995. 娛樂城
    《娛樂城:線上遊戲的新趨勢》

    在現代社會,科技的發展已經深深地影響了我們的日常生活。其中,娛樂行業的變革尤為明顯,特別是娛樂城的崛起。從實體遊樂場所到線上娛樂城,這一轉變不僅帶來了便利,更為玩家提供了前所未有的遊戲體驗。

    ### 娛樂城APP:隨時隨地的遊戲體驗

    隨著智慧型手機的普及,娛樂城APP已經成為許多玩家的首選。透過APP,玩家可以隨時隨地參與自己喜愛的遊戲,不再受到地點的限制。而且,許多娛樂城APP還提供了專屬的優惠和活動,吸引更多的玩家參與。

    ### 娛樂城遊戲:多樣化的選擇

    傳統的遊樂場所往往受限於空間和設備,但線上娛樂城則打破了這一限制。從經典的賭場遊戲到最新的電子遊戲,娛樂城遊戲的種類繁多,滿足了不同玩家的需求。而且,這些遊戲還具有高度的互動性和真實感,使玩家仿佛置身於真實的遊樂場所。

    ### 線上娛樂城:安全與便利並存

    線上娛樂城的另一大優勢是其安全性。許多線上娛樂城都採用了先進的加密技術,確保玩家的資料和交易安全。此外,線上娛樂城還提供了多種支付方式,使玩家可以輕鬆地進行充值和提現。

    然而,選擇線上娛樂城時,玩家仍需謹慎。建議玩家選擇那些具有良好口碑和正規授權的娛樂城,以確保自己的權益。

    結語:

    娛樂城,無疑已經成為當代遊戲行業的一大趨勢。無論是娛樂城APP、娛樂城遊戲,還是線上娛樂城,都為玩家提供了前所未有的遊戲體驗。然而,選擇娛樂城時,玩家仍需保持警惕,確保自己的安全和權益。

  996. 娛樂城
    《娛樂城:線上遊戲的新趨勢》

    在現代社會,科技的發展已經深深地影響了我們的日常生活。其中,娛樂行業的變革尤為明顯,特別是娛樂城的崛起。從實體遊樂場所到線上娛樂城,這一轉變不僅帶來了便利,更為玩家提供了前所未有的遊戲體驗。

    ### 娛樂城APP:隨時隨地的遊戲體驗

    隨著智慧型手機的普及,娛樂城APP已經成為許多玩家的首選。透過APP,玩家可以隨時隨地參與自己喜愛的遊戲,不再受到地點的限制。而且,許多娛樂城APP還提供了專屬的優惠和活動,吸引更多的玩家參與。

    ### 娛樂城遊戲:多樣化的選擇

    傳統的遊樂場所往往受限於空間和設備,但線上娛樂城則打破了這一限制。從經典的賭場遊戲到最新的電子遊戲,娛樂城遊戲的種類繁多,滿足了不同玩家的需求。而且,這些遊戲還具有高度的互動性和真實感,使玩家仿佛置身於真實的遊樂場所。

    ### 線上娛樂城:安全與便利並存

    線上娛樂城的另一大優勢是其安全性。許多線上娛樂城都採用了先進的加密技術,確保玩家的資料和交易安全。此外,線上娛樂城還提供了多種支付方式,使玩家可以輕鬆地進行充值和提現。

    然而,選擇線上娛樂城時,玩家仍需謹慎。建議玩家選擇那些具有良好口碑和正規授權的娛樂城,以確保自己的權益。

    結語:

    娛樂城,無疑已經成為當代遊戲行業的一大趨勢。無論是娛樂城APP、娛樂城遊戲,還是線上娛樂城,都為玩家提供了前所未有的遊戲體驗。然而,選擇娛樂城時,玩家仍需保持警惕,確保自己的安全和權益。

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  998. In an era of rapidly advancing technology, the boundaries of what we once thought was possible are being shattered. From medical breakthroughs to artificial intelligence, the fusion of various fields has paved the way for groundbreaking discoveries. One such breathtaking development is the creation of a beautiful girl by a neural network based on a hand-drawn image. This extraordinary innovation offers a glimpse into the future where neural networks and genetic science combine to revolutionize our perception of beauty.

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  1000. 百家樂是賭場中最古老且最受歡迎的博奕遊戲,無論是實體還是線上娛樂城都有其踪影。其簡單的規則和公平的遊戲機制吸引了大量玩家。不只如此,線上百家樂近年來更是受到玩家的喜愛,其優勢甚至超越了知名的實體賭場如澳門和拉斯維加斯。

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  1008. RSG雷神
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    2023-24英超總共有20支隊伍參賽,以下是英超賽制介紹:

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    比賽採用三分制,贏球獲得3分,平局獲1分,輸球獲0分。
    以積分多寡分名次,若同分則以淨球數來區分排名,仍相同就以得球計算。如果還是相同,就會於中立場舉行一場附加賽決定排名。
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